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Stanza | fragility, resilience and innovation

Read Stanza: we explore market instability, unpack opportunities to innovate in retirement income and offer perspectives on foundational changes reshaping markets such as longevity, tokenisation and AI.
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Assessing European energy dependence

The global economic order is changing. Old assumptions no longer hold, and new risks and opportunities are emerging.
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Opportunities and misperceptions in fixed income

Peter Bentley, Global Head of Fixed Income, discusses current opportunities and misperceptions in fixed income.
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Changing economic orders

Deglobalisation, fiscal dominance and demographic change point to a world of greater volatility, higher inflation risk, and wider cross‑country divergence.
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Global Perspectives

Fixed income

Scraping the barrel: oil products – who runs out of what, and when?

With oil inventories declining rapidly, we investigate where product shortages may start to appear.

19 Jun 2026 5-7 min read

Fixed income

Mastering the Bloomberg Global Aggregate Bond Index

Spanning more than 30,000 securities across government bonds, corporate credit and securitised markets, the Bloomberg Global Aggregate Bond Index offers a broad snapshot of global fixed income. Its scale and diversity make it the natural benchmark for many investors seeking exposure to global bond markets.

01 Jun 2026 5-7 min read

Fixed income

Instant Insights: Kevin Warsh ushers in new regime at the Fed

All eyes were on Kevin Warsh’s debut press conference as Fed chair, which confirmed a “hawkish tilt” at the central bank.

18 Jun 2026 5-7 min read

Fixed income

The importance of inflation protection

Inflation has fallen from its post-pandemic peaks, but the underlying story may have dramatically changed. In this paper, we argue that disinflation has stalled and that markets may be underestimating a structural shift to a more inflationary world. A combination of policy choices, geopolitical change, demographics and deglobalisation is reshaping the inflation outlook, with important implications for portfolios.

01 Jun 2026 5-7 min read

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Market viewpoints

September 2026

The market may need to rethink what ‘risk-free’ really means

Markets continue to anchor valuations around the assumption that government bonds represent the risk-free benchmark. However, in a world of rising sovereign debt burdens, we believe that assumption deserves closer scrutiny. History has shown that highly rated corporates, supranationals and agency issuers can occasionally trade through government bonds, and we are already seeing examples of that today. As fiscal risks become more prominent, investors may need to reassess whether yesterday’s valuation frameworks remain fit for tomorrow’s markets.

April LaRusse Head of Investment Specialists
Currency markets are rewarding fundamentals again

In the past, monetary policy dominated currency markets. Today, we are seeing a broader set of return drivers. We are observing that countries with stronger growth, healthier fiscal positions and more supportive terms of trade are typically performing well, which can potentially create attractive opportunities. In our view, foreign exchange remains one of the few markets where valuation, macroeconomic fundamentals and policy divergence can all combine to generate differentiated sources of return.

Francesca Fornasari Head of Currency
Credit valuations are rich, but the cost of being underinvested remains high

Credit spreads may be tight, but higher underlying yields continue to provide a powerful cushion against market volatility. Over the past 18 months, investors who positioned defensively have repeatedly been challenged by resilient growth, healthy corporate fundamentals and the strength of carry. In our view, the income available today remains attractive enough to justify staying invested despite richer valuations.

Brendan Murphy Head of Fixed Income, North America